FIRST IMPRESSIONS OF THE SECOND SEASON

     I don't know if anybody in Hollywood read my web pages on NUMB3RS. If they did, then they didn't tell me about it. But all my issues have been addressed in the first two episodes of Season Two. These two shows have regained the spirit of the pilot that had me so upbeat about "NUMB3RS."

    

    

THE MATH

     Holy shit! The math insights on the show are genuine, legitimate, honest mathematical issues. They also fit my show conditions of being useful, non-obvious, and accessible.

     Example One: Charlie points out that the circumstances of a decision can be deduced from the decision itself. Under what conditions would a decision be the right decision? He calls this "reverse decision theory" and it is a nice piece of mathematical insight which is useful, non-obvious, and accessible.

     Example Two: A radio car key has an ever-changing signaling sequence that opens the car door. The sequence itself isn't going to identify the car but the changes in the sequence as the button is repeatedly pressed gives information about the make and model of the car. Here I have a harder time believing the FBI wouldn't already know how to identify a car from its radio key, but the insight is definitely useful, non-obvious, and accessible mathematics.

    

    

ATTITUDE

     Charlie's attitude is a 180° reversal from the cocky, I'm-smarter-than-you posture presented last year. He portrays his mathematical craft as guidance rather than instant certainty.

     When he simplifies and orders a large (not "exponential," just "more") stack of suspect files, he offers a reasonable explanation of his contribution. "My system is not meant to be a replacement for your skills, simply a tool to help you use them more effectively." Thank you, Charlie, for saying what I have been trying to explain for two decades.

     When the intuition of others conflicts with his mathematical conclusions, he likens his insights to a partial fingerprint, evidence to be weighed. Last year's Charlie would have insisted that his analysis trumps the judgment of experts because it's mathematical.

     I even liked the point where Charlie says, "Sometimes math does something we can't explain. My analysis says he's still a suspect." I have done analyses whose results were not what I expected and, occasionally, I have no direct, causal explanation for what I found. Sometimes the result is just a combination of factors that intuition isn't enough to see directly. In real life (at least in my life) the end of these stories is often that the math gives us new insight and new intuition. Why not have that happen on television, too?

    

    

PERSPECTIVE

     I enjoy the development of the show's characters as people even if the obsession with dating is one-dimensional. It gives them a chance to interact in a setting other than the immediate drama of crime solving.

     The emphasis on math was smothering the show last year. I feel it's now-smaller role makes it more interesting and more believable to the viewing audience. Charlie isn't the only expert, even his father contributes expertise by recognizing that a sequence of numbers is football scores.

     The plots are basic, TV-drama formula. I happen to think that's a good thing [1] because the viewer can concentrate on the unusual crime and the interesting math that solves it rather than wondering what plot twist is coming next. When somebody is looking over Charlie's shoulder at something, the viewer expects that person to have something to add that Charlie himself may not have known or did not see. That makes the show predictable in one sense and interesting in another.

    

    

CONCERNS

     The episode guide has me worried. The third show "Obsession" seems to have Charlie become a handwriting-analysis expert, something lacking in my own mathematical education. In the middle of the first season, Charlie became an instant expert on everything. I was particularly distressed when he could look at a phony ten-dollar bill and figure out who drew it. This is an area of subject-matter expertise where a mathematician has no advantage over any generally-smart person.

     The scripts clearly need a going-over by a real mathematician, preferably one who has taught mathematics. (If they already have such a person, then he needs to spend more time doing his job or they need another person.) Charlie's definition of "exponential" is awful [2] and his explanation of "Bayesian" is too vague.

    

    

CONCLUSION

     I want this show to succeed in the right ways. After all, Hollywood is glorifying my own craft in my own time, a challenge it has aggressively avoided in the last two decades. I'm excited about it and I'm glad the show survived long enough to have another chance.

     On the other hand, I feel we mathematicians in particular, and techno-geeks in general, should be watchful that what we do is portrayed in an insightful and reasonably honest way. "NUMB3RS" ran out of steam after the first few episodes last year. Let's hope insight and honesty have more staying power this time around.

    


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MY OTHER ESSAYS ON NUMB3RS







     1. Having a formulaic structure for the show gives it shape and form, a scaffolding for the more-interesting math and crime stories. It gives writers and viewers a plot framework.

     A Wrinkle in Time by Madeleine L'Engle contains one of the most beautiful descriptions of human life. Mrs. Whatsit compares life to a sonnet:

"It is a very strict form of poetry is it not?

"There are fourteen lines, I believe, all in iambic pentameter. That's a very strict rhythm or meter, yes?

"And each line has to end with a rigid rhyme pattern. And if the poet does not do it exactly this way, it is not a sonnet, is it?"

Calvin: "You mean you're comparing our lives to a sonnet? A strict form, but freedom within it?"

"Yes. You're given the form, but you have to write the sonnet yourself. What you say is completely up to you."

     2. The gratuitous explanation of "exponential," something that grows in proportion to its size, is something taken out of a mathematics textbook without genuine understanding. It's completely correct and totally uninformative, losing the essence in peripheral details. While a really good description of "exponential" eludes me, I could point out that "an exponential process is one that grows by multiplicative factors" or "an exponential process doubles, doubles again, and keeps doubling" or something that deals with the growing-huge-too-fast property from which we get the colloquial use of the term.